Animoca Brands refutes claims of scaling back metaverse fund target and plummeting valuation

Animoca Brands, a venture capital firm and Web3 game developer, has refuted recent claims that it has scaled back its metaverse fund target by $200 million, or 20%, amid volatility in the crypto market and instability in the banking sector. The firm also downplayed suggestions that its valuation has plummeted from $6 billion as of July 2022 to roughly $2 billion in March 2023.

The claims were reported by Reuters on March 24, citing anonymous “people familiar with the matter,” who alleged that Animoca initially halved its $2 billion metaverse fund target in January and recently cut it another 20% to $800 million. The fund was announced in November 2022 to allocate capital to mid-to-late-stage startups with a metaverse focus, and Animoca co-founder and chairman Yat Siu outlined at the time that the fund target was between $1 billion and $2 billion, depending on how much capital was raised.

While Animoca acknowledged that the banking collapses in the United States have had an impact on available venture capital, the firm stressed that the final amount raised for the fund has yet to be determined. “When the raise is concluded, we will inform the market with the appropriate details, including the final size of this fund,” the firm stated.

Regarding the company’s valuation, Animoca asserted that the figures reported by Reuters and “two other” unnamed sources were inaccurate. The firm argues that its total market cap is not fully represented by the data from PrimaryMarkets, where its shares have traded since being delisted from the Australian Stock Exchange in March 2020.

Animoca terminated its arrangement with PrimaryMarkets in the second half of 2020, but the platform continued to trade its shares. The firm stated that “trading volume is far too low to provide the price accuracy you would find on an actual primary market.”

While the claims made in the Reuters report remain unverified, they highlight the impact of recent events on the crypto market and fundraising efforts. Animoca’s stance suggests that the firm is still confident in its ability to raise capital for its metaverse fund and that its valuation is higher than what has been reported. However, it remains to be seen how successful the fundraising efforts will be and whether Animoca will meet its original target for the fund.

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Animoca Brands refutes claims of scaled back metaverse fund and plummeting valuation

Animoca Brands, a venture capital firm and web3 game developer, has denied recent reports that it has scaled back its metaverse fund target and experienced a significant drop in its valuation. The company refuted claims that it had reduced its metaverse fund target by $200 million, or 20%, to $800 million amid volatility in the crypto market and instability in the banking sector. The firm also downplayed suggestions that its valuation had plummeted from $6 billion as of July 2022 to roughly $2 billion in March 2023.

These claims were made in a March 24 Reuters report that cited anonymous “people familiar with the matter.” According to the report, Animoca initially halved its $2 billion metaverse fund target in January and recently cut it by another 20% to $800 million. However, Animoca co-founder and chairman Yat Siu had previously outlined that the fund target was between $1 billion and $2 billion, depending on how much capital was raised.

The metaverse fund, which was announced in November 2022, was designed to allocate capital to mid-to-late-stage startups with a metaverse focus. Animoca acknowledged that the banking collapses in the United States have had an impact on fundraising but stressed that the final amount raised for the fund has yet to be determined.

“While there’s no doubt that the FTX and banking crises have had a serious impact on available venture capital, fundraising for the Animoca Capital fund is in progress,” the firm stated. “When the raise is concluded, we will inform the market with the appropriate details, including the final size of this fund.”

In terms of its valuation, Animoca asserted that the figures reported by Reuters and other unnamed sources were inaccurate. The company, which trades as AB1, was initially listed on the Australian Stock Exchange (ASX) in its early days. However, AB1 was delisted back in March 2020 due to the ASX’s assertions that Animoca had breached its listing rules by being involved in crypto-related activities, among other things.

Since then, its shares have traded on unlisted stock-focused exchanges such as the Sydney-based PrimaryMarkets. The data from this platform was used to calculate a total market cap of AB1 at around roughly $2 billion. However, Animoca argues that these figures don’t fully represent the company’s total valuation.

“The claim […] that Animoca Brands ‘now trades its shares on PrimaryMarkets’ is not technically correct. We terminated our arrangement with PrimaryMarkets in the second half of 2020, but PrimaryMarkets chose to continue to trade Animoca Brands shares on its platform,” the firm stated. “We do not consider the thin trading activity on PrimaryMarkets to accurately reflect the company’s value. Trading volume is far too low to provide the price accuracy you would find on an actual primary market.”

Despite the challenges faced by the company, Animoca remains committed to its mission of developing web3 games and supporting startups focused on the metaverse. The firm has been at the forefront of the booming metaverse industry and is well-positioned to capitalize on its growth. As the industry continues to evolve and mature, it will be interesting to see how Animoca Brands navigates the challenges and opportunities that lie ahead.

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Data suggests Uniswap is 36% overvalued and SushiSwap trades at a discount

Just looking at Binance Coin’s (BNB) reported market capitalization, one might conclude that the token is the dominant asset when compared to other exchange tokens.

Although there is no direct relationship between Binance’s exchange volume (or revenue) and token economics, traders seem to use it as a proxy. The controversial burn mechanism has been losing impact since April 2019, when the exchange changed the BNB whitepaper. 

Initially, the whitepaper proposed a plan where BNB tokens equivalent to 20% of the exchange’s profit would be bought under a “repurchasing plan”, but the new version scrapped that plan.

Exchange tokens market cap and volume. Source: Messari Screener and CoinGecko

However, excluding the 60 million BNB that have never been in circulation drastically changes the outcome because these excess tokens are meant to be burned over time.

The remaining exchange tokens are inflationary, meaning the issuing rate is very steep. For example, Uniswap (UNI) has 611 million tokens in circulation, but that number is expected to reach 1.14 billion in 10 years.

BNB price (above) and Binance exchange daily volume (below). Source: TradingView and Nomics

How BNB differs from the other exchange tokens

BNB has an actual use case apart from trading fee rebates, and it is the primary asset pair on the Binance Smart chain. BNB captures a portion of the $17 billion total value locked in the BSC smart contracts, and it has decent market share and representation on decentralized exchanges. As a result, the network creates perpetual demand for BNB.

Based on these simple figures, should analysts discount BNB’s value by 50% compared to other exchange tokens? As mentioned earlier, the market appears to be pricing BNB based on Binance exchange’s volume, and thus it makes sense to use that as a valuation proxy.

Uniswap has been averaging $1.63 billion daily volume, although it offers exclusively spot markets. Hence, the figure is comparable with Binance’s $24.3 billion average, not factoring derivatives markets.

Using Uniswap’s 93.3% lower volume, the gross estimate accrues a $10.3 billion market capitalization based on 50% of BNB’s reported $76.7 billion. Thus, the prediction comes out 36% below UNI’s actual data.

PancakeSwap, the leading Binance Smart Chain’s DEX, has been handling a $750 million in daily volume. Using the same 50% of BNB’s market capitalization methodology, CAKE’s estimated valuation should be $4.73 billion, which is surprisingly in line with the current figure.

FTX and SUSHI are trading at a discount

Moving to a centralized exchange, FTX has amassed $1.7 billion in daily volume, including derivatives markets. Consequently, the indicator can be compared to Binance’s $54 billion average. Despite its 96.8% lower volume, FTX’s gross estimate valuation is $4.83 billion — 11% below the actual number.

Using Huobi’s adjusted $5.4 billion volume and Binance’s entire $54 billion daily average volume, including its derivatives products, results in a $15.34 billion estimated valuation. When considering Huobi Token’s unprecedented inflationary model, applying a heavy discount for the reported market capitalization makes sense.

Lastly, Sushiswap aggregates a daily $305 million transaction volume. Considering Binance’s $24.3 billion spot-only data, the same estimate yields a $1.92 billion valuation roughly 33% above the actual figure.

It is worth noting that this estimate does not imply an investment recommendation. This unrefined and primitive methodology simply aims to show that traders are effectively using exchange volume as a proxy for native token valuation.

While this may have worked in the past, the current regulatory, KYC, and removal of leverage trading options at centralized exchanges could impact the efficacy of this analysis method in the future.

The views and opinions expressed here are solely those of the author and do not necessarily reflect the views of Cointelegraph. Every investment and trading move involves risk. You should conduct your own research when making a decision.