MakerDAO, a lending protocol and stablecoin issuer, has voted in favor of a proposal to expand the amount of United States Government bonds held in its portfolio by 150%, from $500 million to $1.25 billion. This would be a significant increase. This action is being taken with the goals of diversifying its liquid assets and earning a net yearly yield in the range of 4.6% to 4.5%. The remaining $500 million of USDC in the PSM will be handled by decentralized finance asset manager Monetalis Clydesdale. MakerDAO has plans to deploy $750 million of the USDC in the PSM to acquire further US Treasury bonds.
The bonds will be acquired with equal maturities, monthly, and over the course of a period of six months; the total number of slots will be 12, and each slot will be worth $62.5 million. After taking into account the costs of custody, the proposition is anticipated to result in a net yearly return of 4.6% to 4.5%. The income stream of MakerDAO can potentially benefit from an increase in trading expenses. This action will result in the continuation of Monetalis Clydesdale’s management of a current allocation of $500 million from the United States Treasury, which has been in effect since October 2022.
On the other hand, some people who took part in the governance forum had reservations about the proposition. They pointed out that MakerDAO has not yet received any money from Monetalis for the first half billion DAI, and they claimed that questions asked in Maker’s Discord and governance forum were not responded swiftly, which did not provide sufficient time to evaluate the proposal.
The failure of Silicon Valley Bank on March 11 caused widespread fear throughout markets and led to the depeg of a number of stablecoins, including USD Coin (USDC) and Dai. In response to this, MakerDAO said that its community was working on suggestions to convert its stablecoin exposure to money market instruments, such as U.S. Treasurys, “with the objective of diversifying DAI’s liquid collateral.”
What is protecting an investment portfolio from potential stock market volatility? As per Bloomberg Intelligence’s Mike McGlone, a merged exposure of Bitcoin (BTC), gold, and government bonds.
The senior commodity strategist, who sees BTC heading to $100,000, pitted derivatives in a new report representing the three safe-haven assets against the performance of the S&P 500 index, finding that the trio has been outperforming the benchmark Wall Street index at least since the start of 2020.
The Bitcoin-Gold-Bonds index took data from the Grayscale Bitcoin Trust (GBTC), SPDR Gold Shares (GLD) and iShares 20+ T- Bond ETF (TLT). The three funds enable investors to gain exposure in the market without requiring to hold/own the physical asset.
Bitcoin more profitable than gold and bonds
McGlone noted that Bitcoin did some heavy lifting in making investors’ risk-off strategy successful, adding that their portfolios “appear increasingly naked” without the flagship cryptocurrency even if they remain exposed to gold and bonds.
The statement took cues from the performance of Bitcoin, gold, and the 10-year US Treasury yield against the prospect of rising quantitative easing and debt-to-GDP levels. Since March 2020, Bitcoin has risen almost 1,190%, which comes to be extensively better than spot gold’s 25.93% spike.
Meanwhile, the U.S. 10-year bond yield has jumped from its record low of 0.33% to 1.326% in the same period.
However, despite a healthy spike, the returns on the benchmark government bond have come to be lower than the core U.S. inflation of 5.4%, suggesting that investors who hold bonds as safety against risky equities are making an inflation-adjusted loss.
As a result, lower yields have created avenues for corporates to borrow at meager rates for expansion, thus giving equities a boost. Additionally, investors in the secondary markets have started moving their capital into non-yielding assets like Bitcoin and gold, anticipating higher payouts.
Yield rebound ahead?
Former bond investor Bill Gross, who built Pimco into a $2 trillion asset management firm, noted that bond yields have “nowhere to go but up.”
The retired fund manager said that the 10-year U.S. Treasury note yields would rise to 2% over the next 12 months. Therefore, bond prices will fall due to their inverse correlation with yields, resulting in a loss of about 3% for investors who bought debts all across 2020 and 2021.
Federal Reserve purchased 60% of net US government debt issuance over the past year with its $120 billion a month asset purchase program to boost the US economy. However, in August, the U.S. central bank announced that it would slow down its bond-buying by the end of this year, given the prospects of its 2% inflation rate target and economic growth.
“How willing, therefore, will private markets be to absorb this future 60 per cent in mid-2022 and beyond,” questioned Gross, adding that the US bond market would turn into an “investment garbage.”
“Intermediate to long-term bond funds are in that trash receptacle for sure.”
Rising rates could threaten to draw capital out of overvalued U.S. stocks. At the same time, as a risk-off trade, funds could also start flowing into the Bitcoin market. Julian Emanuel, the chief equity and derivatives strategist at brokerage firm BTIG, shed light on the same in his interview with CNBC in February. Excerpts:
“This is the environment where that catch-up trade is going to show its ability […] You’re coming from such a low absolute level of rates that higher rates actually is likely to be supportive for alternatives like Bitcoin.”
Related: 3 reasons why a Bitcoin ETF approval will be a game changer for BTC price
To McGlone, the capital inflow into Bitcoin and the rest of the cryptocurrency market, including Ethereum, would be about finding the next-best investment opportunity. He said that digital assets may represent the “higher-beta potential,” adding:
“We see Ethereum on course toward $5,000 and $100,000 for Bitcoin.”
The views and opinions expressed here are solely those of the author and do not necessarily reflect the views of Cointelegraph.com. Every investment and trading move involves risk, you should conduct your own research when making a decision.