Bitcoin On-Chain Environment Suggesting Bullish Undertones, According to Analytics Firm Glassnode

Blockchain analytics firm Glassnode says that Bitcoin’s on-chain fundamentals have hints of bullishness, suggesting that recent market correction could be close to over.

In its latest report, Glassnode says that while most derivatives traders are betting on more downside for BTC, on-chain models are hinting that a more bullish undertone is in play.

The firm says that the illiquid supply of Bitcoin, or BTC that sits in addresses with little history of selling, is growing while price declines, which is reminiscent of other points in history that ultimately led to bull runs.

“Interestingly, prices in the current market are declining (bearish), whilst Illiquid supply is in a marked uptick (bullish). This week alone, over 0.27% of the supply (~51k BTC) was moved from a Liquid to Illiquid state. Within a macro bearish backdrop, this does raise the question as to whether a bullish supply divergence, similar to May-July 2021, is in effect.”

Source: Glassnode

Glassnode also takes into account Bitcoin’s NVT (Network Value to Transaction), which describes the relationship between transfer volume and market capitalization.

The blockchain-tracking company says that Bitcoin’s NVT is currently at a point that suggests that BTC is trading at a premium while echoing bear market bottoms of the past.

“Taking a ratio of price and the 90-day NVT price gives an ‘NVT Premium’, which is currently trading at lows that are historically considered undervalued. Previous instances where settlement volumes have been this high relative to the market cap have preceded strong bullish impulses in bear markets, or at macro market bottoms such as Dec 2018, and Mar 2020.”

Source: Glassnode

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Disclaimer: Opinions expressed at The Daily Hodl are not investment advice. Investors should do their due diligence before making any high-risk investments in Bitcoin, cryptocurrency or digital assets. Please be advised that your transfers and trades are at your own risk, and any loses you may incur are your responsibility. The Daily Hodl does not recommend the buying or selling of any cryptocurrencies or digital assets, nor is The Daily Hodl an investment advisor. Please note that The Daily Hodl participates in affiliate marketing.

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$200 Billion Exits The Market As Bitcoin Plummets To A Multi-Month Low

Bitcoin, the top asset in the industry has noted a sharp fall in prices over the last 24 hours. At press time, the king-coin depreciated by almost over 9.7%. Bitcoin dropped its value by almost $7,000 and was exchanging hands at $38,233.95. This marked an almost six-month low for the coin. This price level is the lowest ever since the first week of August last year. Following Bitcoin’s price action, altcoins followed suit as a majority of them were seen trading in the red at the time of writing.

The global cryptocurrency market cap was at $1.95 trillion after a considerable fall of about 7.7% over the past day. The global crypto cap hadn’t dipped below the $2.11 Trillion mark in over 3 months now. This major plunge in value across the broader cryptocurrency market had caused roughly $200 Billion to leave the market. Ethereum, which is the second-largest cryptocurrency in regards to market capitalisation also registered a tumble of about 8% in the last 24 hours.

Related Reading |TA: Bitcoin Dives Below $40K, Why Bulls Could Struggle In Near Term

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What Could Have Potentially Caused This Big Dump

The bears had taken over the market, however, it isn’t safe to assume that the market would continue with a bearish outlook just yet. This could also be a price correction from which Bitcoin and major altcoins might recover over the upcoming trading sessions.

This retracement in Bitcoin’s prices from $43,000 could have happened for a number of reasons. Needless to say, crypto markets are volatile, however, current price movements of the major cryptocurrencies can be tied to a couple of recent developments in the crypto space.

This sudden substantial sell-off in prices could have been caused due to stock market weakness after the US Federal Reserve introduced high-interest rates and tapered the stimulus. The Fed hiking the interest rates in the form of tightening the overall monetary policy has, in turn, affected the unregulated market of cryptocurrencies.

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The cryptocurrency industry has also suffered the pangs of other recent regulatory measures. The most recent one is Russia’s blanket ban which has rocked the global cryptocurrency market. Other regulatory measures which have been set in motion to curb the rapid growth of digital asset has also had negative effects on the prices.

Securities and Exchange Commission has signaled at scrutinising cryptocurrency exchanges. Environmental factors have also raised eyebrows of regulatory bodies, European Securities and Markets Authority (ESMA) wishes for the EU to ban the proof-of-work model.

All of the above-cited reasons have sent shock waves across the crypto industry causing the fear index to point at 19, a number that corresponds to “Extreme Fear” in the market.

Related Reading | TA: Ethereum Nosedives, Indicators Show Signs of Larger Downtrend

Bitcoin Price Analysis: Crucial Trading Levels to Watch Out For

Bitcoin was priced at $38,233.95 after the coin nosedived close to 9% at press time. The asset flashed a death cross, which is considered to be extremely bearish in nature. The prices were beneath the 20-SMA line, indicating that sellers were responsible for driving the price momentum in the market.

Source: BTCUSD on TradingView.com

The Relative Strength Index hurtled as it reflected the excessive selling pressure in the market. Currently, Bitcoin’s RSI was hovering beneath the 25-mark which meant that the asset was oversold and undervalued.

The support level for the coin stood at $37,982.40 and a push from the bears could make BTC trade at that aforementioned level. The Average Directional Index was near the 50-mark, implying a strengthening of the current price trend in the market. The resistance price level for the coin was $39,829.16.

Featured image from The Motley Fool, chart from TradingView.com

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Bitcoin ‘Double Bubble’ Could Send BTC Rallying 300%, According to Crypto Trader Lark Davis

Crypto trader Lark Davis says a 2013-style “double bubble” scenario could be the technical pattern that sends Bitcoin on a 300% rally.

In a new video, Davis tells his 419,000 subscribers he’s sticking to his presumption that Bitcoin finishes off its bull market in a similar fashion to 2013 where it formed two large peaks before entering a bear market.

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“I do think that the end of the year is going to see some real fireworks coming in here for the cryptocurrency markets. We’re not going to get a 700% rally for Bitcoin but maybe we get another 100% or 200% or even a 300% rally, and I know there’s still a lot of people who are saying ‘Look Lark, a 300% rally, it’s just not going to happen. Bitcoin’s too big. The market cap is just too damn big. It’s just not realistic to see that playing out.’

And the current market cap of Bitcoin, yeah it is pretty big, right. We are at just a little under a trillion dollars for the market cap of Bitcoin right now. At its all-time high price, we were at $1.2 trillion. A 300% price rally from there would put us up near a $4.5 trillion to $5 trillion market cap.”

Long term, Davis sees Bitcoin reaching the six or seven-figure mark by the time 2030 rolls around, or about a 20x return from current prices over the next 8 years.

“But, I also wholeheartedly believe Bitcoin is going to be a $10 trillion-plus asset. I don’t know when that’s going to happen, but it’s going to happen. By the end of the decade, I’m pretty certain we’re going to see Bitcoin trading in the upper hundreds of thousands of dollars, potentially even having reached a $1 million per coin by the end of the decade.”

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Disclaimer: Opinions expressed at The Daily Hodl are not investment advice. Investors should do their due diligence before making any high-risk investments in Bitcoin, cryptocurrency or digital assets. Please be advised that your transfers and trades are at your own risk, and any loses you may incur are your responsibility. The Daily Hodl does not recommend the buying or selling of any cryptocurrencies or digital assets, nor is The Daily Hodl an investment advisor. Please note that The Daily Hodl participates in affiliate marketing.

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