Anthony Scaramucci Urges Bitcoin Holders To Think Long-Term As Downtrend Won’t Last

The bitcoin downtrend has no doubt rocked investors to their core. This is evidenced by the decline of the Fear & Greed Index into the extreme fear territory, reaching as low as 11 on the scale. Investors, understandably, are wary of the market and what the next few weeks, and by extension, months, may hold for them. If this is the beginning of a bear market, then there could be another two-year wait to the next bull rally.

Anthony Scaramucci has however urged bitcoin investors not to despair during this time. Despite the market crash that sent the digital asset to six-month lows, Scaramucci, who is the CEO of Skybridge Capital, has told investors to look towards the long-term when investing in bitcoin.

The Bitcoin Crash Is Temporary

The CEO was on CNBC’s Squawk Box to talk about the crypto market. In this interview, Scaramucci shared some insight into how he viewed the market and the current crash, which he does not believe is a cause for alarm. He urged bitcoin buyers to take some time to cool off from the market, advising them to look toward long-term investing instead of what the market is doing right now.

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Related Reading | Has Bitcoin Reached Its Bottom? Analyst Says It Still Has A Long Way To Go

Holding bitcoin for the long-term has always been the mantra of bitcoin maximalists, who believe more in the future of the digital asset than what it is doing in the present. Scaramucci has resonated with this in his latest advice. The CEO explained that bitcoin investors need to buy the digital asset for the long-term, as well as other cryptocurrencies which he expects to do well in the future.

Bitcoin price chart on

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BTC trading north of $37,000 | Source: BTCUSD on

Scaramucci pointed to the fact that a lot of investors say that they are invested in the long-term but yet are fazed by what happens in the short term. “Everyone is a long-term investor until you have short-term losses, and then you start freaking out,” said the CEO. “Take a chill pill, stay long bitcoin, other cryptocurrencies like Algorand and Ethereum, and I think you’re going to be very well-served long-term in those investments,” he advised investors.

Forget The Dollar, BTC Is BTC

Currently, the value of bitcoin is derived from how much it sells when compared to the dollar. This is how investors measure their holdings and how well they are doing in the market. However, Scaramucci rejects this idea of valuing bitcoin in terms of dollar figures and urges investors to just look at the digital asset for what it is; bitcoin. For the CEO, BTC is BTC and the dollar is the dollar.

Related Reading | Bitcoin Whales Take Advantage Of Market Crash To Gobble Up Millions In BTC

He revealed that he tells clients of his investment firm SkyBridge Capital to invest in cryptocurrencies as long as they size it appropriately. “I don’t want my clients to miss this. I’m telling them to size it appropriately — that’s a 1% to 3% allocation, 1% to 4% at cost.” This is because the CEO believes that cryptocurrencies like bitcoin are inevitably going to be a part of the future.

Scaramucci also advised investors who get overly excited when they are investing in the market. He supports the idea of putting a small percentage of an investment portfolio into cryptocurrencies but cautioned against trying to lever digital assets like bitcoin due to its high volatility and the uncertainty that still clouds the digital asset. “It would be like levering Amazon back in 1998, ’99 and 2000,” the CEO warned.

Featured image from Vanity Fair, chart from


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Are We In A Bear Market? Glassnode Analyses The Latest Bitcoin Crash

Let’s cut to the chase: Glassnode thinks we’re in a bear market. In their latest “The Week On-Chain” newsletter, the company tries to “establish the likelihood that a prolonged bear market is in play” by “using historical investor behaviour, and profitability patterns as our guide.” One thing’s for sure, the recent crash was severe, and “such a heavy drawdown is likely to change investor perceptions and sentiment at a macro scale.”

Related Reading | Bitcoin Leads As Markets Sees Record Outflows. Bear Market Incoming?

How severe was it? According to Glassnode, “this is now the second worst sell-off since the 2018-20 bear market, eclipsed only by July 2021, where the market fell -54% from the highs set in April.” Apart from the price, investors “capitulated over $2.5 Billion in net realised value on-chain this week.” Who were those paper hand investors? “The lion’s share of these losses are attributed to Short-Term Holders.” Of course.

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Glassnode Points Out The Bear Market Indicators

  • The first indicator Glassnode goes for is “The Net Unrealised Profit/Loss (NUPL) metric.” Which measures “the overall market profitability as a proportion of market cap.” How is Bitcoin doing on that front? “NUPL is currently trading at 0.325 which indicates that an equivalent to 32.5% of the Bitcoin market cap is held as an unrealised profit.”

Price drawdown from ATH - Glassnode

BTC Price Drawdown from ATH | Source: Glassnode

How does this point to a bear market? “Considering previous cycles, such low profitability is typical in the early to mid phase of a bear market (orange). One could also reasonably argue that a bear market started in May 2021 based on this observation.” This is not enough, though. But Glassnode has more.

  • The second indicator the company hit us with is “The MVRV Ratio.” This one “is calculated as the market cap, divided by the realised cap; and is a useful tool for identifying periods of high, and poor investor profitability.”

How does this point to a bear market? “With a current MVRV-Z reading of 0.85,  the market is well within territory visited in bearish markets, and a bearish divergence is noted, similar to the NUPL metric above.” Is this enough? No way. But Glassnode has an ace up its sleeve.

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  • The third indicator is “the Realised-to-Liveliness Ratio (RTLR).” They use “the Realised Price using Liveliness in the denominator” to calculate this one. 

How does this point to a bear market? “The market is now trading below the RTLR price of $39.2k, but above the Realised price of $24.2k. Again, this is often observed during early to mid stage bear markets.”

Who Sold And Who Is Still Holding Strong?

There’s no surprise here. The “Short-Term Holders (STH)” are selling. How does Glassnode define STHs, though? By the age of their coins. “Coins are considered to be owned by STHs when they are younger than ~155-days, and are statistically more likely to be spent in the face of volatility.” No surprise there either.

It’s worth pointing out that the STH’s coins are “currently held at a loss.” In fact, “as of this week, almost the entire STH supply is underwater.” That could be scary for newcomers, so those coins are at risk of being sold. At a loss. These people are going to regret their emotional decisions for life, but that’s a topic for another article.

BTCUSD price chart for 01/24/2022 - TradingView

BTC price chart for 01/24/2022 on Oanda | Source: BTC/USD on

The other question here is, who’s holding strong? According to Glassnode, “Interestingly, STH supply remains near multi-year lows, which is indicative of their counter-part, the Long-Term Holders (LTHs), who appear impressively unfazed by such a severe drawdown.” Of course. People who already understood the game are not easy to shake.

How are the LTH’s coins doing? “Over 59.3% of the circulating supply has now been dormant for over 1yr, increasing by 5.8% of circulating supply in the last three months.” This sounds bullish, but Glassnode finds a way to rain on the LTH’s parade. “Whilst a rising, and large proportion of mature coins is generally considered constructive, it once again bears similarities to a bear market, a time when only the HODLers and patient accumulators remain.”

Related Reading | Bitcoin Bottom Signal From Bear Market, Black Thursday Could Save The Bull Run

Conclusions And Hopium

According to Glassnode, one could argue that the “bear market started in May 2021.” Does it feel like a bear market, though? No, it doesn’t. It doesn’t feel like a bull market, either. We may be in a new phase. The Bitcoin cycle might be dead. Or maybe we’re just in a bear market as Glassnode tried to prove. Either way, LTHs are not selling.

Featured Image by mana5280 on Unsplash  | Charts by Glassnode and TradingView


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Following Crash, Bitcoin Open Interest Declines To Sept 2021 Levels

Following the crash to $35k, the Bitcoin open interest has declined to September 2021 levels. This may suggest that the market volatility will be lesser in the near future.

Bitcoin Open Interest Drops To Similar Levels As In September 2021

As pointed out by an analyst in a CryptoQuant post, the BTC open interest has decreased to similar levels as last September following the crash.

The “open interest” is an indicator that measures the total amount of Bitcoin futures contracts currently open in the derivatives market. The metric accounts for both long and short positions.

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When the value of the indicator increases, it means more money is entering into the derivatives market as investors open more positions.

The volatility in the price of Bitcoin usually rises in such scenarios as it implies leverage in the market is going up, and so a liquidation squeeze may be coming.

On the other hand, when the open interest declines in value, it means holders are closing up their futures positions. The resulting lower leverage environment usually leads to lower price volatility.

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Related Reading | Bitcoin Diamond Hands: Despite Recent Fear, Coins Aged 12-18 Months Rise To 2-Year High

Now, here is chart that shows the trend in the Bitcoin open interest since the May of last year:

Bitcoin Open Interest

The value of the indicator seems to have gone down recently | Source: CryptoQuant

As you can see in the above graph, the Bitcoin open interest has declined after the crash in the price of the crypto to $35k.

Similar behavior was also seen during two other instances in the last six months, where a crash in the BTC price wiped out some open interest.

Related Reading | Market May Be Suffering But Bitcoin And Ethereum Will Pull Back Stronger, Bloomberg Analyst

During all these instances, it seems long liquidations were at play to amplify the slide in the crypto’s price. Now, the Bitcoin open interest is at the same level as September 2021.

Ethereum’s open interest has also dropped significantly since its ATH, and is now the lowest since last Sept. The below chart highlights this trend.

Ethereum Open Interest

Looks like the ETH open interest has also observed a reset | Source: CryptoQuant

As the open interest values are now relatively lower, the quant believes volatility should also be lesser in the near term.

BTC Price

At the time of writing, Bitcoin’s price floats around $33.3k, down 21% in the last seven days. Over the past month, the crypto has lost 34% in value.

Here is a chart that shows the trend in the price of BTC over the last five days:

Bitcoin Price Chart

Looks like BTC's price has shown sharp downtrend in the last few days | Source: BTCUSD on TradingView
Featured image from, charts from,


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Redditors share their thoughts on buying Bitcoin at all-time highs

Many crypto enthusiasts turned to social media on Friday to voice their frustrations with the state of the crypto market. One Reddit user named imyourkingg allegedly invested 30% of his net worth into Bitcoin (BTC) a few months ago, saying:

“I don’t need this money for the next 5 to 10 years, but I have to admit sometimes I get so afraid of Bitcoin’s future; I mean it crashes or never reach $100k, $200k as the predictions for 2025+ says or at least $55k again lol, and I lose that money, especially when all of my friends, my mom and family call me crazy for investing on it.”

Crypto’s decentralized nature means there are no circuit breakers equivalent to the ones that exist on traditional stock exchanges. The resulting bull/bear cycles can be extreme, and difficult for the uninitiated to become accustomed to. Another Reddit user took the podium with a post titled “$60k and panicked:

Ok, so I was very new to crypto and a victim of thanksgiving dinner, but I need help should I sell or hold. Guys, I’ll HODL [Hold on for Dear Life], but I can’t afford to buy a lot more rn.

Bitcoin’s price has had disappointing start in 2022, with the digital currency falling 11.4% in the past 24 hours, and 44.7% from its all-time highs of approximately $68,000 in Nov. 2021. Early BTC investors may already be sitting on relative fortunes, making them more capable of weathering through these downfalls. The same cannot be said for investors who had only recently entered the game, however. According to a report by Huobi Group, 70% of current crypto holders in the U.S. started investing in crypto in 2021.