Bitcoin Price Analysis: Bitcoin Sets ATH Above $38K, But Some Worrying Signs Pop On The Weekly Chart

Bitcoin saw another 7% price increase today, sending the primary cryptocurrency to a fresh ATH above $38K. One can barely believe the fact that only three days ago, on Monday, Bitcoin recorded a daily low below $28K. And now, as of writing these lines, it gained roughly $10K. The latter was the value of Bitcoin before the current parabolic run had started in the middle of October 2020.

On the smaller timeframe, last Monday, BTC had rebounded retesting the critical support at $30K – $30,400 a  and has since established a short term rising price channel, as seen on the following 4-hour chart.

Yesterday met resistance at $37,150 (1.618 Fib Extension) and closed the daily candle around this level. However, over the past hours of trading, BTC pushed beyond this resistance to climb by nearly $1,000 and reach the new ATH of nearly $38,200 (as of writing this update).

Now for the worrying news: The incredible skyrocket weekly chart reveals the magnitude of the parabolic move that BTC witnessed over the past 4-weeks. The last parabolic move (in December 2017) lasted a total of just 5-weeks.

Despite the overwhelming positivity in the market, the weekly RSI is exceptionally overbought as it pushed beyond the December 2017 peak to a level that has not been witnessed since the parabolic run of late-2013.

Every time this overbought level was met on the weekly timeframe, a sharp and massive correction took place. Is Bitcoin done? ‘the trend is your friend,’ hence, the parabola runs until it stops.

btcusd-weekly-jan7
BTC/USD Weekly Chart. Source: TradingView

Short-Term BTC Price Support and Resistance Levels to Watch

Key Support Levels: $37,150, $36,250, $35,000, $34,000, $33,260.

Key Resistance Levels: $39,400, $40,000, $41,190, $41,850, $43,445.

Looking ahead, the first level of resistance beyond $38,000 lies at $39,400 (1.272 Fib Extension). This is followed by resistance at the psychological level of $40,000, followed by $41,190 (short term 1.414 Fib Extension), and $41,850 (1.414 Fib Extension).

Further above lies $43,445 (1.272 Fib Extension – yellow) and $45,350 (1.618 Fib Extension).

On the other side, in case a correction takes place, then the first level of support lies at $37,150 (yesterday’s close). This is followed by $36,250, $35,000 (short term .236 Fib), $34,000, and $33,260 (short term .382 Fib).

The Daily RSI remains in extremely overbought territory (87, which is inches from Sunday’s yearly high), and, as mentioned, the weekly RSI is now at a level that has not been since late-2013.

We can start seeing bearish divergence (not confirmed) on the 4-hour and the daily chart, which signals a necessary correction. The correction can arrive at any moment; however, until then, the short-term bull run is intact.

Bitstamp BTC/USD Daily Chart

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BTC/USD Daily Chart. Source: TradingView

Bitstamp BTC/USD 4-hour Chart

btcusd-4hr-jan7
BTC/USD 4HR Chart. Source: TradingView

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Bitcoin Price Analysis: Bulls Must Break This Level To Prevent A Bearish Double-Top

Bitcoin bulls need to make sure the daily price closes above $23,850 today, or else a double top will form on the BTC/USD chart (see below).

Double tops are bearish reversal setups that tend to result in strong downtrends. They form when an asset fails to breach the same resistance level twice in a short period of time. The second rejection signals to the market that bullish momentum has run out and that a shift in trend is about to occur.

There’s also an obvious RSI divergence (yellow line) over the same timeframe, which supports the current trend weakening idea. Not to mention, $19 billion has departed from the market since 00:01 (GMT) today, as the Bitcoin dominance is breaking records.

BTC Price Levels to Watch in the Short-term

On the 4-hour BTC/USD chart, we can see the price has failed to close above $24,000 on two separate occasions within the last 24 hours (red bar). And, even though the leading cryptocurrency has printed a higher high today, it still hasn’t broken the sloping resistance on the RSI (yellow line on the 4-hour chart).

Once the indicator line breaks this area, it should be construed as an early indication that bullish momentum has returned behind Bitcoin and will likely foreshadow a bullish reversal. However, until then, we should anticipate the indicator line to continue down towards the oversold region – provided the double top forms.

In this bearish case, there are several key supports that will likely come into play during the double top breakout;

(1) $22,700 – 0.236 Fibonacci level.

(2) $22,500 – 50 EMA line (blue).

(3) $22,000 – Psychological level.

(4) $21,500 – Order block support (bottom green bar).

For bullish targets, the $24,000 level will continue to be the main resistance that buyers will need to break in order to confirm that a new bullish trend is underway. Further above the $24K lies the current ATH around $24,370, before the psychological level of $25,000.

Total market capital: $652 billion

Bitcoin market capital: $438 billion

Bitcoin dominance: 67.3%

*Data by Coingecko.

Bitstamp BTC/USD Daily Chart

bitcoin trading
BTC/USD chart via Tradingview.

Bitstamp BTC/USD 4-Hour Chart

Bitcoin trading
BTC/USD chart via Tradingview.

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Disclaimer: Information found on CryptoPotato is those of writers quoted. It does not represent the opinions of CryptoPotato on whether to buy, sell, or hold any investments. You are advised to conduct your own research before making any investment decisions. Use provided information at your own risk. See Disclaimer for more information.




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Today Bitcoin Can Break a Record From October 2013: BTC Price Analysis

Yesterday, bitcoin’s price set another all-time high, this time at $24,200 (Bitstamp). Nine days ago, the daily low was $17,565. Since hitting that level, the primary cryptocurrency had gone through a fantastic journey of eight consecutive daily green candles.

This is the longest period of consecutive daily green candles since June 2019’s bull run (8 candles). If today’s candle will close above $23,840, though a green candle, this will become the longest period since October 2013.

Back then, Bitcoin had gone through ten green days where the price increased from $121 to $147.

This fact can just emphasize how impressive this bull run is. Not many people expected a new all-time high even before 2021.

BTC Support and Resistance Levels To Watch

While bitcoin had entered a price discovery territory, where there is no actual resistance to the bullish side, we can rely on the top-yellow ascending line on the following daily chart.

This line was started forming mid-October and now lies around $24,500 – $24,600. Before that, the first resistance level for Bitcoin is the current ATH at $24,200.

Further above lies the psychological levels of $25,000 and $26,000.

As the RSI is getting near 80, there is a high probability of an incoming price correction.

From below, the first level of support now lies around today’s low at $23,000 – $23,200, along with the first green ascending trend-line.

Further below lies 0.236 Fibonacci Level around $22,250, followed by the 0.382 and 0.5 Fibonacci levels – $21,405 and $20,673, respectively.

Further below lies the previous all-time high of December 2017 at around $20,000.

Total Market Cap: $684 billion

Bitcoin Market Cap: $443 billion

BTC Dominance Index: 64.8%

*Data by CoinGecko

BTC/USD BitStamp 1-Day Chart

btc_dec20_d-min

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Disclaimer: Information found on CryptoPotato is those of writers quoted. It does not represent the opinions of CryptoPotato on whether to buy, sell, or hold any investments. You are advised to conduct your own research before making any investment decisions. Use provided information at your own risk. See Disclaimer for more information.




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Bitcoin Price Analysis: How High Can The Parabolic Move Go? Is $25K In Sight?

Bitcoin’s price has left everyone in shock today. Not only has the leading crypto broken the psychological $20,000 mark in the last 24 hours, but also the $21K, $22K, and $23K levels in rapid succession too. Over $71 billion has entered the global crypto market during this historical movement, pushing the weekly increase in worldwide […]

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As Bitcoin Breaks $20K – These Are The Next Possible Targets (BTC Price Analysis)

Bitcoin price has just surged by $1,300 in the last few hours, taking it $780 beyond the previous all-time high of $19,990. This is the highest price Bitcoin has ever been across all exchange platforms and has happened just as the American trading session got underway. In the last analysis, we predicted that the prior […]

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BTC Consolidation Likely to End With a Huge Move: Bitcoin Price Analysis

Bitcoin price has been oscillating within a narrow $450 range for the past 3 days now as bulls struggle to break over the 0.5 Fibonacci Extension level at $19,480. This area between $19,044 and $19,480 is the same spot that BTC was stuck inside of during December 5 – 8, right before prices tanked by […]

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After BTC’s $2K Crash in Two Days, Will This Level Stop the Bloodbath? (Bitcoin Price Analysis)

After last week’s excitement of a brand-new Bitcoin all-time high, the bulls forgot about the strong resistance at the key level of $20,000. According to the basics of technical analysis, just as in soccer, if you do not break above – you lose force and regress. This is exactly what we see over the past […]

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Bitcoin Eyes Huge Move In The Next 48 Hours: BTC Price Analysis

Bitcoin has had a slow start to the week so far, with volatility and trading volume falling to uncharacteristically low levels given its recent parabolic performance. This period of low activity, however, may not be as bad as it sounds. Looking at the 4-hour chart, it’s clear that the leading cryptocurrency is converging inside a […]

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Bitcoin Price Analysis: Can BTC Surpass $20K Soon Despite The CME Gap?

Bitcoin price is recovering from yet another heavy sell-off this week after prices fell $1,600 on December 1 to a low of $18,100. Despite fears of BTC closing the substantial CME gap below between $18,275- $16,995 (see chart), bullish traders have managed to successfully drive prices back above the psychological $19,000 mark. If they can […]

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Following ATH: Here Are The Next Price Targets For Bitcoin (BTC Analysis)

Bitcoin has just broken above its previous all-time high of $19,660 on Bitstamp exchange (white dashed line) and is now storming towards the psychological $20,000 level. This is a truly historical moment to behold and has taken the leading asset just under 3 years to fully recuperate the losses from the extreme 2018 bear market. […]

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Bitcoin (BTC) $ 26,927.21 2.03%
Ethereum (ETH) $ 1,650.37 2.69%
Litecoin (LTC) $ 65.08 2.65%
Bitcoin Cash (BCH) $ 235.53 2.44%