Crypto Price Prediction: Bitcoin ‘To Overtake’ The Dollar By 2050 And Soar To $66,000 By The End Of 2021

Bitcoin has struggled over the last few months, falling by more than half from its peak of around $65,000 set in April.

The bitcoin price is still up significantly from before it began its latest rally in October, a bull run that sent combined crypto market to a staggering $2.5 trillion before crashing back (subscribe now to Forbes’ CryptoAsset & Blockchain Advisor and discover crypto blockbusters poised for 1,000% gains).

Now, a panel of cryptocurrency experts has predicted bitcoin will overtake the U.S. dollar as the dominant form of global finance by the year 2050—putting the bitcoin price at just over $66,000 by the end of 2021.

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“Some countries will leverage bitcoin as their primary currency of choice,” said one panelist, Thomson Reuters technologist and futurist Joseph Raczynski, who said he thinks bitcoin will overtake the dollar by 2025 with a value of $150,000. “With fixed circulation, ease of transfer, it will serve them well to move to a ‘bankless’ model inherent in this ecosystem.”

This year, El Salvador has adopted bitcoin as legal tender alongside the U.S. dollar in a controversial economic experiment. Other Central and South American countries have indicated they may follow suit in an attempt to escape dependence on the dollar.

However, the bitcoin price is predicted to fall further before finding a floor, with the panel consensus of $25,000 per bitcoin—down around $8,000 from its current price of around $32,000.

While 54% of the panel, surveyed by personal finance comparison site Finder, expect bitcoin to eventually overtake fiat currency—sometimes called “hyperbitcoinisation”—by the year 2050, 44% of panelists, including University of Western Australia associate professor Lee Smales, don’t expect bitcoin to ever become the dominant form of global finance.

“Ultimately I think bitcoin (and many other cryptocurrency assets) will lose out to central bank digital currencies—many of which will be live by the end of the decade,” Smales said.

This week, Federal Reserve chair Jerome Powell said one of the stronger arguments for a digital dollar is that it could undermine the need for bitcoin, other cryptocurrencies and so-called stablecoins, digital currencies such as tether that are pegged to traditional assets.

In Europe, the E.U. has moved forward with plans to develop a digital euro over the next couple of years while China has already begun real-world trials of its digital yuan.

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Despite warning the bitcoin price is could fall further in the coming months, over the medium to long-term the panel made an average bitcoin price prediction of $318,000 at the end of 2025.

“We’re standing in the midst of the institutionalization of bitcoin,” said Arcane Crypto analyst Vetle Lunde who forecast a $120,000 bitcoin price by the end of 2021 and thinks bitcoin will be worth $300,000 at the end of 2025 and $500,000 in 2030. “More funds are joining the space, the first country has adopted bitcoin as legal tender, and we have several exchange-listed companies now owning bitcoin. I believe this trend will continue onwards.”


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This Is Why Ethereum Could Flip Bitcoin, According to Coin Bureau

The popular crypto trader and host of Coin Bureau is outlining why he thinks Ethereum (ETH) has a chance to reach a larger market capitalization than Bitcoin (BTC).

In a new video, the pseudonymous analyst known as Guy tells his 1.17 million subscribers that the decentralized finance (DeFi) space has the potential to attract a stampede of investors looking for yields that are superior to traditional financial instruments.



Given that DeFi is largely dependent on Ethereum, the analyst says the possible surge in adoption of decentralized finance protocols could fuel ETH toward becoming the biggest crypto on the market. He says the potential trigger could be Ethereum and other smart contract platforms going through their expected upgrades to become cheaper and more efficient.

“Once these upgrades go through, the demand for these smart contract cryptocurrencies is going to go through the roof for one reason: DeFi. The yields you can find on even the most vanilla DeFi protocols are much higher than anything any centralized financial intuition can currently offer you. Investors big and small are feeling the squeeze from low-interest rates and high inflation, which basically made any yield below 5-7% a break-even number. This is why institutional investors have been piling into DeFi…

Whereas Bitcoin is still recovering from its hash rate collapse, Ethereum’s has been comparably unaffected and its decentralized financial ecosystem has likewise remained stable. I’m sure that institutions also like that they can have a say in Ethereum 2.0 by staking ETH, which is something that is now available at a bank in Switzerland.”

The closely followed crypto influencer says that Ethereum has a good shot at overtaking Bitcoin and also names one catalyst that could seal the deal altogether.

“Because of these and other factors such as general user adoption, I think it’s very possible that we’ll see Ethereum flip Bitcoin by market cap when the next bull run comes around. This is essentially guaranteed if Ethereum sees an [exchange-traded fund] before Bitcoin, and it looks like this might just happen.”

At time of writing, multiple Ethereum exchange-traded funds (ETFs) have been filed for registration with the US Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) but none have been publicly approved. The host of Coin Bureau posits that there’s a chance one of the filings has already been approved, though no announcement of an approval has been made.

“Now, perhaps this is just wishful thinking, but as far as I’m concerned it’s not a question of ‘if’ but ‘when’.”

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Disclaimer: Opinions expressed at The Daily Hodl are not investment advice. Investors should do their due diligence before making any high-risk investments in Bitcoin, cryptocurrency or digital assets. Please be advised that your transfers and trades are at your own risk, and any loses you may incur are your responsibility. The Daily Hodl does not recommend the buying or selling of any cryptocurrencies or digital assets, nor is The Daily Hodl an investment advisor. Please note that The Daily Hodl participates in affiliate marketing.

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Stop Trying To Understand Bitcoin

One of the most common objections I still hear to holding any bitcoin is, “I just don’t understand what it is or how it works.” You, reading this right now, might even feel this way.

You’re likely reading this article on the screen of a phone or computer so think about this:

  • Do you understand how the words on your screen were delivered to your device?
  • Do you know how TCP/IP or HTML work? Do you know what those acronyms mean?
  • Do you know how the computer you’re holding converts bits of information into the photons reaching your eyes?

I’m going to take a guess and say no, you are not sure how any of this works. You don’t understand it at all, yet if you look in Screen Time on your iPhone, you’ll see some staggering usage of a device and system you cannot begin to explain.

The average adult spends 3.5 hours per day on their phone

The average adult spends 3.5 hours per day on their phone.

But you don’t need to know how these systems work because you find value in them. And that’s enough.

Let’s look at an even more abstract system: money and investments. You probably earn money every month and keep it in a bank account, pay for your life with a credit card and cash checks once in a while.

  • Do you know how your bank clears and settles transactions?
  • Do you know how Robinhood keeps the accounting for your stock portfolio and executes trades on your behalf?
  • Do you know how the Federal Reserve “conducts the nation’s monetary policy”?

Even if you work in the financial system, I’ll take a guess that you do not have a full grasp on how these systems work. In many cases, the operators of these systems have no reason to help you understand — they often benefit from obscuring how they work to the outside world.

Even though you don’t understand how these systems work, you interact with them every day because you understand the value of each in your personal life.

Understanding Value

Understanding what something is or how it works is not a prerequisite to finding value in it. Bitcoin is no different. You can find value in it without feeling like you have a deep understanding of how it works or what it is. Plus, the earlier you get involved in Bitcoin and recognize that it could have value for you, the more you stand to gain as others come to realize the value Bitcoin can bring to their lives.

The moment Bitcoin “clicks” will be the moment you look at its properties in context of what you need. The simplest, one sentence description of Bitcoin is often enough to do this:

Bitcoin is an asset with a fixed, predictable supply that can be transported anywhere in the world in seconds and securely stored in your own brain.

I’m not going to explain how any of that works, because frankly, you don’t need to know. You only need reasonable assurances that all of this is true, just like you have reasonable assurances that your paycheck will come through or that the email you just sent to your boss will make it to their inbox. I’ll get into those assurances later.

So, what do you need that Bitcoin might be able to help you with? Maybe you want…

  • To buy assets that produce income, so you can escape the nine-to-five rat race.
  • To preserve savings against inflation until you retire.
  • To escape tyranny by moving your savings out of a broken financial system or oppressive government’s reach.

Buying Assets

You want to buy a slice of a business that pays you each month, so you can eventually live off of that income instead of working nine-to-five (or longer). Why are businesses today insanely overvalued compared to their revenues? Why would investors continue to buy the stock of companies at such insane valuations?

Assets that pay you are an important part of financial freedom, but their prices are increasingly unaffordable these days.

Assets that pay you are an important part of financial freedom, but their prices are increasingly unaffordable these days.

We have to look at how central banks conduct their monetary policy, which lately means mashing one button: PRINT. The U.S. Federal Reserve increased the dollar’s supply by 24% last year alone. That makes cash a bad store of value and pushes investors into other assets.

Instead of sitting on cash, investors are buying stocks and investing in any business with even a flimsy pitch deck, making it hard for you and I, earning salaries or working odd jobs, to buy an asset that produces income for a reasonable price.

Investors are not even buying companies for the income they produce anymore; they are just buying them hoping they can sell them later for a higher price. Investors are ultimately scrambling to buy scarce assets. Investable companies are slightly more scarce and difficult to create than fiat currencies operated by governments — especially when those governments show you their willingness to print infinite currency.

Some investors are starting to realize that a far more scarce asset now exists and they are piling into it in waves. It is unique among assets in that it has a fixed, predictable supply. That asset is called bitcoin.

Preserving Savings

You want to grow your savings so you can retire comfortably, but inflation is always creeping up and eating away your nest egg and the value of your wage or salary. Why do we see steadily rising prices over the past century? It has nothing to do with economic growth and everything to do with the fact that our currencies do not have a fixed, predictable supply. The currencies we use today are constantly manufactured — you could call it counterfeited — by central banks. This debases the value of all units of that currency in circulation.


If you want to protect your savings against the rising price of goods and services in your home country’s currency, you need money that cannot be debased. You need money that doesn’t carry a negative real interest rate, like almost all fiat currencies today. You need bitcoin.

Escaping Tyranny

You may have it even worse: you aren’t just trying to escape the rat race or save up, but you are threatened by a hostile or corrupt financial system or government that could snap up your savings overnight. Cash in a bank account is easy to freeze or seize. A nice piece of property can be taxed or taken by force. A bag of jewelry can be seized at the border. What you need is an asset that’s highly portable and easy to secure: bitcoin.

An East German border guard jumping to West Berlin — the “Leap of Freedom” — with only the clothes on his back.

An East German border guard jumping to West Berlin — the “Leap of Freedom” — with only the clothes on his back. Source: Time

What if you just want to rent everything and work until you drop dead?

If this is you, maybe you don’t need bitcoin. The World Economic Forum predicts that by 2030 “You’ll own nothing” — and rent everything. You don’t need to worry about asset prices outpacing income growth because you’re happy to be sitting in your cubicle at 70, making sure you can pay rent on your shoebox this month and continue to lease your clothes.

If you would prefer a bit more independence and self-determination in your life, maybe bitcoin is something you’d benefit from.

How can you trust this simple definition of bitcoin?

I mentioned needing reasonable assurances that the properties of bitcoin which make it such a powerful tool for saving money and gaining independence hold true.

How does bitcoin provide reasonable assurances that it truly is a fixed supply, highly portable, secure asset and unit of account?

Reasonable Assurances

Instead of reading every line of Bitcoin’s code and reasoning about how it all works in practice, we need to take a step back and look at history. We rely on this type of reasonable assurance just to get through our daily lives.

You do not read the entire operation manual of your car before you trust it with your life at 70 miles per hour on the highway. You are reasonably confident you’ll be fine, given the brand of the car and the fact that most of your friends didn’t have to read the manual to use their cars safely.

You do not chemical test every meal because you’re pretty sure the greens at your local grocery store aren’t going to poison you (though sometimes, they do).

We use history and the experience of others to gauge everything in our lives. Let’s apply that to Bitcoin.

To get a sense for whether Bitcoin fulfills its promises of being fixed in supply, instantly portable and secure to store, we need to ask ourselves:

  • Has Bitcoin operated in a predictable manner over its history?
  • Can we use it to transfer value globally, and quickly?
  • Is it secure to store and use?

Predictable Supply And Operation

Bitcoin is far more predictable in its supply (“inflation rate”) than fiat currencies, which are subject to the whims of a few powerful people.

Federal reserve US dollar

Bitcoin’s predictable monetary inflation rate vs the US Dollar’s erratic changes.

Bitcoin also sports lower downtime than other payment networks — even everyday ones like Visa or settlement systems like FedWire.

Given that the asset has never seen a supply shock and has flawlessly stuck to its pre-ordained inflation rate over 12-plus years while experiencing rapid growth and securing hundreds of billions of dollars in value, we can be pretty sure it will be predictable going forward.

Surely more predictable than the dollar and not devalued systematically!

Fast, Global Value Transfer

Try sending money to someone in another country, and let me know if you’re able to do so in less than a few days without paying a hefty fee. That’s our existing banking system: clunky and costly.

Bitcoin does not care what piece of land you happened to be born on or the size of the transaction you’re trying to make. As long as you have an internet connection and the bitcoin address of your recipient, you can broadcast a transaction and have it settled in minutes.

People do this every day with Bitcoin, moving billions of dollars, experiencing zero issues. For the last 12 months, somewhere around 150,000 bitcoin have moved on the Bitcoin blockchain each day. You can be reasonably sure your transactions will go through as well.


Secure Storage

No other asset matches the security and portability of bitcoin. Put some on a hardware wallet or on an app on your phone and see for yourself. If you save your seed phrase and any passphrase you set up, you can smash your wallet to bits and still get your bitcoin back with just the seed words you wrote down. Memorize them and you can take them anywhere. Try walking out of a hostile country with gold bars in your brain.

More and more people trust the Bitcoin network with their savings each day since its inception. You don’t have to look far to see the value locked in bitcoin and the number of addresses and wallets growing.

The protocol itself has never been hacked — nobody has lost a single satoshi (one-hundred-millionth of a bitcoin) to a protocol error. That’s beyond a reasonable assurance of safety.

But… It’s Volatile!

Importantly, it is a mistake to look at the bitcoin price as evidence of the properties of bitcoin because a market price consists of not one asset but two: a base and a quote asset. When we look at the price of bitcoin, we are looking at its price in U.S. dollars, or in Euros or in some other fiat currency which does not have a fixed, predictable supply.

The supply of fiat currencies — and perceptions about how that supply might change due to central bank policies — has a massive effect on asset prices. Just look at the S&P 500 dips around Fed policy changes and announcements. Bitcoin, when priced in dollars or another fiat currency, is subject to this volatility. The volatility is further accentuated by the vagaries of demand for a very new and misunderstood asset, plus the doggedly predictable supply of bitcoin. If you’re willing to wait three or four years, your purchase of bitcoin usually goes up in fiat terms despite volatility in the interim.

Regardless of price swings, the Bitcoin network continues to operate. Its basic properties remain true.

What Is Bitcoin To You?

This is the question you must ask yourself to “understand” Bitcoin: not what it is but what it does for you, for your loved ones, for our societies.

To me, it’s a better form of money and the best way to save. Money is a technological system just like the internet or your car, but with a far longer history and more importance to society’s peaceful functioning and development. Getting money “right” can mean peace or war, life or death for societies and people.

Instead of trying to understand Bitcoin, you may want to start by trying to understand what Bitcoin is replacing: our existing global monetary system. Here’s one place to start.

This is a guest post by Captain Sidd. Opinions expressed are entirely their own and do not necessarily reflect those of BTC, Inc. or Bitcoin Magazine.


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Historically low spot volumes and investor indecision weigh on Bitcoin price

If one word could be used to describe how the majority of participants in the cryptocurrency ecosystem feel about the near-term outlook for Bitcoin (BTC) it would be ‘undecided’, as mixed signals from all manner of indicators have many traders waiting for a significant move in either direction before planning their next entry point. 

A new report from Delphi Digital took a macro look at Bitcoin’s current price action and found that a variety of factors, including low exchange volumes and the strengthening U.S. dollar have weighed heavily on the top cryptocurrency.

BTC/USDT 1-day chart. Source: TradingView

Bitcoin’s recent dip to $31,000 adds to the aura of fear that currently envelops the crypto market and analysts are now warning that failure to close above $31,000 could see BTC drop to the $29,000 to $24,000 zone.

Here are three areas of focus that Delphi Digital highlights as being the most impactful on the short-term price action for Bitcoin

Spot volumes and open interest collapse

According to Delphi Digital, declines in trading activity are one of the biggest factors affecting the market. This is because after the May 19 sell-off there was an exodus of spot and derivatives traders from exchanges.

Spot exchange volume. Source: Delphi Digital

As seen in the chart above, after seeing a substantial increase during the first half of 2021, exchange volumes have fallen by more than 60% as prices collapsed and traders swore off using leverage.

The precipitous drop in BTC price also helped to tamper down retail traders’ use of high leverage in derivatives markets and proof of this comes from BTC futures open interest dropping back to levels seen since early 2021.

Delphi Digital said:

“This purge has caused significant damage to the bullish market structure, with futures basis near 0% and depressed funding rates for perpetual contracts.”

On a more positive note, the mega liquidation event seen back in May helped clear out overleveraged traders, meaning “stronger-handed participants are the ones primarily contributing to current open interest levels.”

Dollar strength leads to BTC weakness

Another factor weighing on the price of Bitcoin has been the recent strength of the U.S. dollar, which has been on an uptrend since bottoming at 89.53 on May 25.

DXY 1-day chart. Source: TradingView

As seen in the chart above, a large inverse head and shoulders pattern has formed on the DXY chart with the neckline now being tested for the third time.

Should the dollar make another leg higher, the current economic recovery could be threatened as financial conditions would tighten and this might weigh heavily on many of the most popular trades of 2021.

Delphi Digital said:

“Commodities, gold, emerging market equities, Bitcoin are all vulnerable to a strengthening greenback, though the speed of its move also remains a critical factor.”

Bitcoin price falls to a long term support

While the 51% drop in BTC price has many analysts afraid that another multi-year bear market could be starting, it’s important to account for some of the larger macro trends that led to the current conditions.

Bitcoin month-over-month returns. Source: Delphi Digital

The above chart shows that Bitcoin had six consecutive months of price gains before a downturn and the asset was due for a pullback from a historical perspective.

Even with BTC down 51% from its all-time high, on a year-over-year basis, its price is still 250% higher than its $9,100 valuation on July 16, 2020. 

The long-term uptrend for Bitcoin remains intact with its price currently testing the 12-month moving average, an important level of support that will determine where the price heads from here.

BTC/USD vs. 12-month moving average 1-month chart. Source: Delphi Digital

Bitcoin trading volume on spot and derivative exchanges is down and the prospects of a strengthening dollar weigh heavily on global financial markets. This has resulted in indecisiveness being the primary emotion that rules the crypto market at the moment and this sentiment is likely to persist until a major price movement or motivating event prompts engagement from sidelined traders.

The views and opinions expressed here are solely those of the author and do not necessarily reflect the views of Every investment and trading move involves risk, you should conduct your own research when making a decision.